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BTC Price Prediction: Ray Dalio Says Bitcoin Not Safe Haven

Techon
Last updated: 12/05/2026 7:57 PM
Techon
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BTC Price Prediction: Ray Dalio Says Bitcoin Not Safe Haven
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Bitcoin Remains Strong Above $80,000 Before CPI

As day trading continued on May 11, price tags for Bitcoin were $80,614 as the latest US CPI inflation data release over 12 May in its one-off timing in against the November high. Even though the fear of inflation will track over Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency has defended its $80,000 psychological support level. This newfound stability has been surprising for many traders as risk assets have historically had a tough time in an environment where inflation expectations are rising.

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in April 2026 will be brighter at 3.7%, compared to the March 2026 level of only 3.3%. Often higher inflation bolsters perceptions that the Federal Reserve could keep interest rates at higher levels for longer, a data point seen as a negative in asset classes such as equities and cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin Remains Strong Above $80,000 Before CPI

But price of bitcoin is still working its bullish magic as it recently demonstrated. During the period from 10 Apr to 12 May, BTC surged from almost $71k to above $80,000, and continued this rise while global macro uncertainty got worse.

Ray Dalio Unravels Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Narrative

Ray Dalio once again passed criticism on the role of Bitcoin in the market. The billionaire hedge fund manager claimed that Bitcoin does not qualify as a safe haven asset in a recent X post.

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Dalio stated that Bitcoin has no privacy, and acts like technology stocks during market downtrends. He said: “When people are trying to reduce portfolio risk exposure, investors normally sell the first digital asset is Bitcoin. This decreases the reliability of BTC, comparable to classical safe-haven assets.

Bitcoin has a market capitalization of just over $1.6 trillion, which is relatively small compared to gold’s estimated $33 trillion market value, Dalio said. Due to this disparity in value, he says that gold is still a more reliable financial crisis hedge.

The investor had been skeptical about Bitcoin for years but has continued to promote gold alongside other top bitcoin critics like Peter Schiff.

What are the recent trends in Bitcoin price?

So while Dalio continues to criticise Bitcoin, the digital asset is still displaying technical strength. BTC has been holding up in a rising price channel since March 29 indicating that the market appears to be trending bullishly.

What are the recent trends in Bitcoin price?

Analysts are following the level of key resistance at the area around 200-day EMA for $82,000. On May 10, bulls tried to push through this resistance but could not keep the momentum on their side above it. If the breakout is successful above $82,000 this could signal a much stronger long-term bullish trend and set up a short-term push down toward $86,000.

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Traders are pretty convinced that something huge, like more institutional interest or Democrats recognizing crypto in a positive light, could punk Bitcoin higher.

RSI Signals Bulls Remain on Top

Gauges confirm bullish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) now stands close to 60, pointing to bottom buying appetite and seller exhaustion as investors continue to dominate disk momentum.

However, the RSI has started to decline a little lower instead of moving higher. This means some investors are near profit-taking at resistance areas. Selling pressure can name Bitcoin to decline into noted lower aid ranges.

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The key support continues to be around the area of $76,000. A drop below this level would lessen buying power, and may give bears a greater chance of bringing the entire crypto to down.

Bitcoin to $86,000 This Month?

Bitcoin is now at a critical juncture. Those buying the dip at $80,000 reckon that this “psychological support” can now spark another run to the upside. In case CPI data pushes investors to seek means to hedge against inflation with digital assets, BTC may resume sufficient uptrend to try does once more the $82,000 resistance.

Bitcoin to $86,000 This Month?

The data you have seen above is from October 2023, and a confirmed breakout over that resistance may send Bitcoin on towards **$86,000 before May 2026. But if inflation data come in rather sharply below expectations and sells pressure picks up on the back of that Bitcoin may find it difficult to extend its tentative trend higher.

Until then, investors have a wait-and-see approach with the crypto market still susceptible to macro data and sentiment shifts.

Conclusion

Bitcoin remains firm towards the pivotal $80,000 level following increased apprehension surrounding US inflation and billionaire investor Ray Dalio’s opinion against it. Dalio still thinks gold is a better store of value than Bitcoin given that it’s volatile and not overly large, and the rally of bitcoin from 71k to 80k shows real confidence from investors in my opinion.

With the possible rising channel pattern and RSI near the 60 mark, sellerssurely took note of this, but profit taking near resistance levels its increasing. The $82,000 resistance near the 200-day EMA is still with us as the key level. If a breakout takes place, the price could rally to $86,000 before May 2026. On the other hand, if CPI data is hotter than expected as well as market trends weakening BTC lower $76k support.

The significant macroeconomic data, investor sentiment in the market and then technical momentum is assigned to determine whether it would be a bullish breakout or of short-term correction for Bitcoin overall.

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ByTechon
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Techcon The 10-year-old crypto Blogger and an accomplished individual's voice is Techon in the Crypto World. Carter began his journey with Bitcoin in 2011 when he helped anyone interested in learning it through his well-appreciated blog. This skill is what makes Techno a storehouse of knowledge for both newbies and veterans since he breaks even the complex with lots of simplicity and yet offers balanced opinions. Through his decade-long experience in this field, he has evolved into a seasoned professional, which gave him access to the information needed in such a vast and well-orchestrated industry of Digital Currencies.
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