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Bitcoin Crash Risk: Peter Brandt Warns of 80% Declines

Techon
Last updated: 25/12/2025 9:58 PM
Techon
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Bitcoin Crash Risk: Peter Brandt Warns of 80% Declines
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Peter Brandt Predicts Bitcoin Market Cycle, Bearish Sentiment, and Possible Altseason

Speculations in the cryptocurrency markets have again received attention after Peter Brandt forecasted Bitcoin (BTC) behavior for the upcoming cycle. He stated Bitcoin might not finish this current cycle until 2029, and, in alignment with the theory of the four-year cycle, Brandt estimates the next significant bull run for Bitcoin to be in September 2029, meaning there is likely a long bearish run to prepare for in the interim.

The possibility of this 15-year-old Bitcoin market cycle behavior is based on a historical pattern Brandt has observed. He stated Bitcoin has completed 5 parabolic runs in the recent bullies, with the 80% or more crashes to follow after each run.

Predicting more bearish economic activity from cryptocurrency markets, Brandt said it is likely Bitcoin will see a price drop as low as 25k during this cycle. “There has never been anything like Bitcoin, and may not ever be anything like it again” is a quote Brandt expressed to exemplify the historical behavior of the cryptocurrency market.

Brandt argued earlier this month that Bitcoin will drop below $60,000. This statement has negatively impacted Bitcoin traders, particularly with Brandt’s set September 2029 date as when the next bull market peak will occur, suggesting he feels that the market overall will remain bearish until then offering the opposite sentiment of the market peak.

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Peter Brandt Predicts Bitcoin Market Cycle, Bearish Sentiment, and Possible Altseason

This negative Bitcoin sentiment has shifted optimism to Bitcoin alternatives, or “altcoins”, as Bitcoin’s overall market dominance has begun to drop. Many traders expect a so-called “altseason”. Analysts argue that the current market conditions, with Bitcoin priced around $90,000, will allow altcoins to gain traction and new market dominance.

There are differing opinions, however, regarding strata and altseason. Asset manager Bitwise predicts the leading tier cryptos, Bitcoin and Ethereum, alongside Solana will see new market peaks and start a new strata tier by 2026.

This sentiment was shared by RAAC founder Kevin Rusher, who noted that altcoins will draw new investment. Conversely, BitMEX co founder Arthur Hayes has argued that the market volatility of “altseason”, as he describes it, is not confined to specific periods within the market.

More analysts go into Ko’s caution, the expected altcoin rally, in 2026, and Ko’s predictions. Ko’s predictions on “blue-chip” and “established” altcoins, Ko’s predictions, and the overbearish retail expectation, influenced Ko’s prediction outcomes.

Thus, Brandt impacts the Bitcoin market with significant pessimism, creating slash lines in the altcoin market and creating a dual narrative narrative for the entire market. BTC, Brandt, and the focus on alts would lead to predictions and market speculation | in disruption over the next significant (and very volatile) crypto years, a substantial period to many.

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ByTechon
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Techcon The 10-year-old crypto Blogger and an accomplished individual's voice is Techon in the Crypto World. Carter began his journey with Bitcoin in 2011 when he helped anyone interested in learning it through his well-appreciated blog. This skill is what makes Techno a storehouse of knowledge for both newbies and veterans since he breaks even the complex with lots of simplicity and yet offers balanced opinions. Through his decade-long experience in this field, he has evolved into a seasoned professional, which gave him access to the information needed in such a vast and well-orchestrated industry of Digital Currencies.
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